Data Science Lead, Forecasting
Location
Florida
Posted
1 day ago
Salary
$120K - $168K / year
Bachelor Degree5 yrs expEnglishCloudPythonTableau
Job Description
• Develop Carrier-specific demand forecast models for the North America Residential and Light Commercial markets
• Maintain and refine industry demand models to forecast short-term and long-term North America Residential and Light Commercial HVAC market demand
• Generate supplemental industry outlook forecast scenarios through sensitivity analysis against key variables and assumptions
• Leverage, maintain, and refine Carrier’s demand sensing forecast for Residential and Light Commercial to detect and respond to short-term changes in customer demand
• Track forecast model accuracy using KPIs such as MAPE
• Prepare monthly executive-level demand outlook reports
• Collaborate with North America Sales & Operations Planning personnel to mutually develop the SIOP monthly demand forecast for North America Residential and Light Commercial
• Incorporate U.S. and Canadian regulatory changes into the forecast and demand planning models
• Maintain an in-depth knowledge of designated markets and trends through monitoring industry reports, market research, and relevant macroeconomic data
Job Requirements
- Bachelor’s degree
- 5+ years of combined experience in demand forecasting, economic modelling, and data analytics
- 2+ years’ experience with time-series modeling (ARIMA, regression, leading indicator models)
- 5+ years’ experience in developing executive-level summaries and presentations
- 5+ years’ experience with Microsoft Excel and PowerPoint
- Master’s degree, preferably in Economics, Statistics, Finance, Data Science/Analytics, Supply Chain, or related field (preferred)
- Experience with business intelligence, analytics, data visualization and Supply Chain management tools such as Power BI, Tableau, ThinkCell, Kinaxis and similar tools (preferred)
- Experience with statistical modeling, data science tools such as Python, SAS, cloud platforms or similar tools (preferred)
- Familiarity with U.S. and Canadian HVAC industry, including current and future regulations and standards, market dynamics and distribution channels (preferred)
- Knowledge of macroeconomic trends and factors and their impact on HVAC demand (e.g. regional climate trends, mortgage interest rates, residential new construction starts, existing home sales) (preferred)
Benefits
- Health Care benefits: Medical, Dental, Vision; wellness incentives
- Retirement benefits
- Time Off and Leave: Paid vacation days, up to 15 days; paid sick days, up to 5 days; paid personal leave, up to 5 days; paid holidays, up to 13 days; birth and adoption leave; parental leave; family and medical leave; bereavement leave; jury duty; military leave; purchased vacation
- Disability: Short-term and long-term disability
- Life Insurance and Accidental Death and Dismemberment
- Tax-Advantaged Accounts: Health Savings Account; Healthcare Spending Account; Dependent Care Spending Account
- Tuition Assistance